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Proposed Model for Evaluating False Positives in Screening Mammography

First, a definition* -

False pos­i­tives happen in screening mam­mog­raphy when the images suggest the presence of a malig­nancy in a woman who doesn’t have cancer in her breast.

Here’s my pro­posed model –

Cat­e­gories of False Pos­i­tives in Screening Mammograms

False pos­i­tives can arise during any of three con­ceptual seg­ments of the testing process:

1. False pos­i­tives occur during the test itself.

This happens when a radi­ol­ogist inspects a film or digital image and labels the result as abnormal, but no cancer is present. This sort of problem is interpretive.

A common sce­nario goes like this — a spot in a mam­mog­raphy image sug­gests the presence of a pos­sible tumor and the radi­ol­ogist cor­rectly notes that abnor­mality; later on, a doctor deter­mines by sonogram, biopsy or another method that there is no malig­nancy in the breast.

(Other, uncommon problems in this cat­egory would include faulty equipment that reduce image quality, mis­la­beling or acci­dental switching of films; in prin­ciple, these kinds of errors should be non-​​events.)

2. False pos­i­tives stem from mis­com­mu­ni­cation or mis­un­der­standing of test results.

If a clerk acci­den­tally phones the wrong patient and tells her she needs another pro­cedure because the results of her mam­mogram are abnormal, that call might instigate an untoward, false pos­itive result. If the error is cor­rected early on, so that affected woman worries only for a period of hours and has dif­fi­culty sleeping for one night, she might expe­rience some psy­cho­logical and/​or small financial cost from the matter. But if the mistake isn’t caught until after she’s had a sonogram or MRI, and con­sulted with a surgeon or another physician, the costs grow.

False pos­i­tives also arise if a patient mis­un­der­stands a test result. An essen­tially normal mam­mog­raphy report, for example, might mention the appearance of benign cal­ci­fi­ca­tions. Upon reading that result, a woman or her husband might become upset, somehow thinking that “benign” means “malignant.” This type of false pos­itive error, based in poor com­mu­ni­cation and lack of knowledge, can indeed gen­erate extra doctors’ visits, addi­tional imaging tests and, rarely, biopsies to relieve mis­guided fears.

3. False pos­i­tives derive from errors or mis­in­ter­pre­tation of results upon follow-​​up testing.

This cat­egory of false pos­i­tives in screening mam­mog­raphy is by far the biggest, hardest to define and most dif­ficult to assess. It includes a range of errors and con­fusion that can arise after breast sono­grams, MRIs and breast biopsies.

3a. false pos­i­tives in sub­se­quent breast imaging studies such as sono­grams and MRIs:

Many women in their forties and early fifties are pre­menopausal; their estrogen-​​stimulated breasts tend to be denser than those of older women. Reading their mam­mo­grams may be less accurate than for post­menopausal women. For this reason, a doctor may rec­ommend a sonogram or MRI to further evaluate or sup­plement the mam­mog­raphy images.

These two radi­ology pro­ce­dures – sono­grams and MRIs – differ and, for the most part, are beyond the scope of this dis­cussion except that they, too, can gen­erate false pos­itive results. A sonogram, for instance, may reveal a wor­risome lump that war­rants biopsy. MRIs are more expensive and sen­sitive; these tend to pick up subtle breast irreg­u­lar­ities including a rel­a­tively high pro­portion of benign breast lesions.

3b. false pos­i­tives in breast biopsy:

A breast biopsy is an invasive pro­cedure by which a piece of the gland is removed for exam­i­nation under the micro­scope. Some­times pathol­o­gists use newer instru­ments to evaluate the genetic, protein and other mol­e­cular fea­tures of cells in the biopsy specimen. Years ago, sur­geons did the majority of breast biopsies. Now, skilled radi­ol­o­gists rou­tinely do a smaller pro­cedure, a core needle biopsy, using a local anes­thetic and a small albeit sharp instrument that’s inserted through the skin into the breast. Some doctors do a simpler pro­cedure, fine-​​needle aspi­ration, by which they remove cells or fluid from the breast using a small needle attached to a syringe.

In prin­ciple, a false pos­itive biopsy result would occur only when a pathol­ogist, a physician trained to examine tumors at the cel­lular and mol­e­cular levels, mis­reads a case, meaning that he or she reports that the cells appear can­cerous when they’re not. For­tu­nately, this is not a fre­quent issue in breast cancer diag­nosis and management.

The real issue about false pos­i­tives – and what may be the heart of the issue in mam­mog­raphy screening – has to do with how pathol­o­gists describe and define some pre­ma­lignant con­di­tions and low-​​grade breast tumors. This concern extends well beyond the scope of this ten­tative outline, but a few key terms should facil­itate future discussion:

Lobular Car­cinoma in Situ (LCIS) is not con­sidered a malig­nancy by most oncol­o­gists, but rather an abnor­mality of breast glands that can develop into breast cancer.

Ductal Car­cinoma in Situ (DCIS) is a Stage 0 breast tumor – a tiny cancer of breast cells that have not pen­e­trated through the cells lining the ducts of the breast gland.

Indolent or “slow” tumors – The idea is that some breast cancers grow so slowly there’s no need to find or treat these.**

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*This def­i­n­ition war­rants some dis­cussion, to follow in a sep­arate post.

**As a physician and trained oncol­ogist, I am uncom­fortable with the pub­lished notion of some breast tumors being “so slow” that they needn’t be found or eval­uated. I include these tumors only for the sake of com­pleteness regarding the­o­retical types of false pos­itive results upon screening mam­mog­raphy, as there’s been con­sid­erable dis­cussion of these indolent tumors in recent news.

Slow-​​growing breast tumors are quite rare in young women. In my view, their con­sid­er­ation has no bearing on the screening con­tro­versy at it per­tains to women in their forties and fifties.

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As out­lined above, the first two cat­e­gories of false pos­i­tives seem rel­a­tively minor, in that they should be amenable to improve­ments in quality of mam­mog­raphy facil­ities and tech­nology; the third cat­egory is huge and where lies the money, so to speak.

Clearly there’s more work ahead -

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