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New Numbers Should Factor Into the Mammography Equation

On Friday the New York Times reported that sur­geons are per­forming far too many open breast biopsies to evaluate abnormal mam­mogram results. A new American Journal of Surgery article ana­lyzed data for 172,342 out­pa­tient breast biopsies in the state of Florida. The main finding is that between 2003 and 2008, sur­geons per­formed open biopsies in an oper­ating room – as opposed to less invasive, safer biopsies with needles — in 30 percent of women with abnormal breast images.

I was truly sur­prised by this should-​​be out­dated sta­tistic, which further tips the mam­mog­raphy math equation in favor or screening. These numbers matter, and should be based in modern medical practice.

When the Annals of Internal Med­icine pub­lished the since-​​adjusted rec­om­men­da­tions for breast cancer screening by mam­mog­raphy in November 2009, the stated con­sid­er­a­tions were not about dollars and cents – which were incal­cu­lable – but about the number of women needed to be screened to save one life, and the inci­dence of false pos­i­tives which cause harm – wor­rying, needless biopsies, com­pli­ca­tions of pro­ce­dures, overtreatment, etc.

In the context of the health care reform dis­cussion, and con­sid­ering our country’s out-​​of-​​the-​​sky-​​and-​​rising medical bills, some (hope­fully) well-​​intentioned econ­o­mists heard about those trumped-​​up mam­mog­raphy papers and con­cluded that we shouldn’t screen women under 50 for breast cancer because it’s harmful and, what’s more, we can’t keep paying for this sort of care because it’s not evidence-​​based.

Those con­clu­sions were flawed, though, because the data in those papers were old, as I’ve written pre­vi­ously, and didn’t include studies of digital mam­mog­raphy – which is better for detecting cancer in younger women who tend to have denser breast tissue. In December 2009, I noted that it was unrea­sonable to con­sider the costs of open needle biopsies in O.R.‘s in any cal­cu­lation of the harms of mam­mog­raphy, as had the Annals authors, because those kinds of pro­ce­dures are out­dated, or so I thought they were.

It turns out I’ve been living, still, in an aca­demic medical enclave. According to the Timescov­erage by Denise Grady:

The reason for the overuse of open biopsies is not known. Researchers say the problem may occur because not all doctors keep up with medical advances and guide­lines. But they also say that some sur­geons keep doing open biopsies because needle biopsies are usually per­formed by radi­ol­o­gists. The surgeon would have to refer the patient to a radi­ol­ogist, and lose the biopsy fee…

The Times article sug­gests this pattern of over-​​doing open-​​biopsies, as doc­u­mented in Florida, likely reflects national ten­dencies, including vari­ation among dif­ferent types of prac­tices – aca­demic, hospital-​​based, etc.

According to the article pub­lished in the American Journal of Surgery, the costs of a core needle biopsy using imaging guidance is around $5,000, or – if a vacuum biopsy device is used, around $6,000; the costs of an open pro­cedure in the O.R. run in the range of $11,000 or more. The Times article indi­cates that doctors’ fees for a needle pro­cedure range from $750 to $1500, and for an open, sur­gical biopsy from $1,500 to $2,500. For a ballpark estimate of the cost dif­ference, say a core needle pro­cedure is $5,500 + $1,000 for the doctor’s fees – that’s ~$6,500; a sur­gical pro­cedure is $11,000 + $2,000 for the surgeon’s fees – that’s $13,000, an easy double.

So let’s say, for the sake of future cal­cu­la­tions on mam­mog­raphy, that 10 percent of breast biopsies really do need to take place in the O.R. (which is a gen­erous over-​​estimate, I think it should be 5 percent or fewer). But if 10 percent need be in the O.R.: then 20 percent of breast biopsies in the U.S. each year – said in the surgery paper to be 1.6 million per year in the U.S. — are being per­formed through an unnec­essary, costlier technique.

An extra $6,500 x 20 percent of 1.6 million pro­ce­dures = $2.08 billion addi­tional costs, per year.

Let’s call it an even $2.1 billion, or $2 billion, we should shave off the col­lective amount we spend on mam­mog­raphy and appro­priate follow-​​up. The last digit doesn’t matter; these are huge numbers. No wonder the Times put this story on the front page.

These results should be fac­tored into any proper cal­cu­lation of costs in breast cancer screening. Now add (or better, sub­tract) the impli­ca­tions of the findings of two weeks ago – that full lymph node dis­section is usually not nec­essary in women, even if the sen­tinel node is found to be pos­itive at the time of defin­itive surgery for what turns out to be a cancer.

What needs be reassessed by public health spe­cialists and econ­o­mists who weigh in on these issues – and please help me out here, Task Force members and Dart­mouth friends, if you would, because your input affects public thinking and, ulti­mately, policy — are the legit­imate costs of screening (every other year, as opposed to annually), doing needle biopsy pro­ce­dures (instead of open biopsies) and reducing the costs and long-​​term com­pli­ca­tions of surgery by elim­i­nating routine lymph node dis­section from the equation.

And then we should assess those numbers rel­ative to the costs of treating a woman with metastatic breast cancer, which still has not yet been determined.

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